Oil And Gas
India will overtake Japan to become the world’s third largest oil consumer behind the US and China by 2025.

Oil and Gas Industry in India

Latest update: December, 2015

India's current energy consumption mix

•In 2014, coal accounted for 56.47 per cent of total primary energy demand 

•Energy demand in the Asia-Pacific region is expected to reach 5,627 Mtoe by 2020 and 6,861 Mtoe by 2035 

•India’s energy demand is projected to double to 48.7 quadrillion btu by 2035 nbsp;

Growth

India's future energy consumption mix

•Over the next few years, dependence on gas, hydro power and nuclear power is expected to increase relative to oil and coal

•The government aims to quadruple India’s nuclear power generation capacity to 20 GW by 2020; currently, seven nuclear power reactors of 4,930 MWe capacity are under construction

•In coming decades, a major portion of consumption dependability of energy mix is expected to shift from coal and petroleum to other resources like natural gas, solid biomass & waste and nuclear & other renewable sources

Growth

 

Last Updated: December, 2015

SECTORAL REPORT | January, 2016

Introduction

The oil and gas sector is among the six core industries in India and plays a major role in influencing decision making for all the other important sections of the economy.

In 1997–98, the New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP) was envisaged to fill the ever-increasing gap between India’s gas demand and supply. A recent report points out that the Indian oil and gas industry is anticipated to be worth US$ 139.8 billion by 2015. India’s economic growth is closely related to energy demand; therefore the need for oil and gas is projected to grow more, thereby making the sector quite conducive for investment.

The Government of India has adopted several policies to fulfil the increasing demand. The government has allowed 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) in many segments of the sector, including natural gas, petroleum products, and refineries, among others. Today, it attracts both domestic and foreign investment, as attested by the presence of Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) and Cairn India.

Market Size

Backed by new oil fields, domestic oil output is anticipated to grow to 1 MBPD by FY16. With India developing gas-fired power stations, consumption is up more than 160 per cent since 1995. Gas consumption is likely to expand at a CAGR of 21 per cent during FY08–17. Presently, domestic production accounts for more than three-quarters of the country’s total gas consumption.

India increasingly relies on imported LNG; the country was the fifth-largest LNG importer in 2013, accounting for 5.5 per cent of global imports. India’s LNG imports are forecasted to increase at a CAGR of 33 per cent during 2012–17. However, net imports of Natural Gas fell from 13.14 BCM in 2012-13 to 13.03 BCM in 2013-14.

State-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) dominates the upstream segment (exploration and production), accounting for approximately 68 per cent of the country’s total oil output (FY14).

Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL) operates 11,214 km network of crude, gas and product pipelines, with a capacity of 1.6 MBPD of oil and 10 million metric standard cubic metre per day (MMSCMD) of gas. This is around 30 per cent of the nation’s total pipeline network. IOCL is the largest company, operating 10 out of 22 Indian refineries, with a combined capacity of 1.3 MBPD.

Investment

According to data released by the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), the petroleum and natural gas sector attracted FDI worth US$ 6.62 billion between April 2000 and September 2015.

Following are some of the major investments and developments in the oil and gas sector:

  • India's consumption of petroleum products which include domestic and industrial fuels like petrol, diesel, cooking gas, kerosene, naphtha, etc., rose 17.7 per cent to 15.2 million tonne (MT) in October 2015 from 12.9 MT in October 2014, as per Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) data. The increase in consumption can be mainly attributed to India's high economic growth, low fuel prices, festival season demand.
  • Essar Projects, the engineering, procurement & construction (EPC) arm of Essar Group, in a joint venture with Italy’s Saipem has won a US$ 1.57 billion contract from Kuwait National Petroleum Company (KNPC) for setting up part of the Al-Zour Refinery Project in Kuwait.
  • ONGC Videsh Ltd (OVL), the foreign arm of state-owned petroleum explorer Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), has planned to acquire up to 15 per cent stake in CSJC Vankorneft, which owns Russia's second-largest oil and gas field.
  • Kirloskar Oil Engines Ltd (KOEL) and MTU Friedrichshafen, GmbH signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) towards exclusive cooperation on the building and commissioning of emergency diesel gensets (EDG).
  • CDP Bharat Forge GmbH acquired 100 per cent equity shares of Mécanique Générale Langroise (MGL) for € 11.8 million (US$ 12.91 million) to consolidate Bharat Forge’s position in the oil and gas sector by enhancing service offerings and geographical reach.
  • Technip won a € 100 million (US$ 109.37 million) contract from ONGC to build an onshore oil and gas terminal in Andhra Pradesh.
  • RIL and Mexican state-owned company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) entered into a memorandum of understanding (MoU) for cooperation in the oil and gas sector.
  • GAIL Global USA LNG LLC (GGULL) signed an agreement with the US-based WGL Midstream Inc to source gas required to produce 2.5 MT of liquefied natural gas (LNG) a year at the Cove Point Terminal in Maryland, US.
  • Russian oil major Rosneft and the Essar Group have entered into a contract for Rosneft to buy 49 per cent stake in Essar’s Vadinar refinery and supply 100 million tonnes of oil to Essar for the next 10 years.
  • The Carlyle Group plans to invest US$ 500 million in Magna Energy Ltd, an India-focused upstream oil and gas company that aims to secure local licenses in India with a primary focus on development and production.
  • RIL aims to invest US$ 31.7 billion in core oil and petrochemical business over the next 12-18 months.
  • Essel Group Middle East plans to acquire 60 per cent participating interest in the African oil and gas exploration projects of a Canadian publicly traded oil and gas company, Simba Energy Inc.
  • IOCL targets to increase the capacity of its Panipat refinery by 34 per cent, to 20.2 million tonnes by 2020 through an investment of US$ 2.38 billion. IOC also plans to increase capacity of Koyali and Mathura refineries.

Government Initiatives

Some of the major initiatives taken by the Government of India to promote oil and gas sector are:

  • The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has put up for comments a draft policy, to opt for revenue-sharing model while auctioning future oil and gas blocks for exploration to private companies, compared to production-sharing mode earlier, in order to make the process more transparent and market-oriented.
  • The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has announced a new 'Marginal Fields Policy', which aims to bring into production 69 marginal oil and gas fields with 89 million tonnes or Rs 75,000 crore (US$ 11.5 billion) worth of reserves, by offering various incentives to oil and gas explorers such as exemption from payment of oil cess and customs duty on machinery and equipment.
  • Government of India entered into bilateral discussion with Norway to extend co-operation between the two countries in the field of oil and natural gas and hydrocarbon exploration.
  • To strengthen the country`s energy security, oil diplomacy initiatives have been intensified through meaningful engagements with hydrocarbon rich countries.
  • PAHAL - Direct Benefit Transfer for LPG consumer (DBTL) scheme launched in 54 districts on November 11, 2014 and expanded to rest of the country on January 1, 2015 will cover 15.3 crore active LPG consumers of the country.
  • 24 x 7 LPG service via web launched to provide LPG consumers an integrated solution to carry out all services at one place, through MyLPG.in, from the comfort of their home.
  • The Government of India launched the 'Give It Up' campaign on LPG subsidy that helped it save Rs 140 crore (US$ 21.11 million) as on 22nd July 2015 with nearly 12.6 lakh Indians registering for the cause. As per recent statistics from oil ministry, as many as 30,000 to 40,000 households are giving up LPG subsidy each day.
  • Special dispensation for North East Region: For incentivising exploration and production in North East Region, 40 per cent subsidy on gas price has been extended to private companies operating in the region, along with ONGC and OIL.
  • The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA), chaired by Prime Minister Mr Narendra Modi, has approved a mechanism for procurement of Ethanol by Public Sector Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) to carry out the Ethanol Blended Petrol (EBP) Program.

Road Ahead

By 2015-16, India’s demand for gas may touch 124 MTPA against a domestic supply of 33 MTPA and higher imports of 47.2 MTPA, leaving a shortage of 44 MTPA, as per projections by the Petroleum and Natural Gas Ministry of India. Business Monitor International (BMI) predicts that India would account for 12.4 per cent of Asia-Pacific regional oil demand by 2015.

Exchange rate used INR 1= US$ 0.015 as on December 17, 2015

References: Media Reports, Press Releases, Press Information Bureau, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas

Disclaimer: This information has been collected through secondary research and IBEF is not responsible for any errors in the same.

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