Indian Oil and Gas Industry Analysis

Primary energy demand is expected to nearly double to 1,123 million tonnes of oil equivalent, as the country's gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to increase to US$ 8.6 trillion by 2040.

Advantage India

Growing
Demand

* Oil demand in India is projected to register a 2x growth to reach 11 million barrels per day by 2045.​

* Diesel demand in India is expected to double to 163 MT by 2029-30, with diesel and gasoline covering 58% of India’s oil demand by 2045.​

* Crude oil imports increased by 4.2% to 242.4 MT in FY25 compared to rise by 9.7 MT from previous year.

* India’s natural gas consumption is projected to grow by nearly 60% by 2030, reaching 297 million standard cubic metres per day (mmscmd), up from 188 mmscmd in FY24.

Rapid
Expansion

* India aims to commercialize 50% of its SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserves) to raise funds and build additional storage tanks to offset high oil prices.​

* India's oil and gas sector has seen substantial investment and exploration success under the New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP) and Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP). Before 2014, nine NELP bid rounds attracted over Rs. 3,07,368 crore (US$ 36 billion) in investment, yielding 177 oil and gas discoveries.

* The industry is expected to attract Rs. 218,475 crore (US$ 25 billion) investment in exploration and production. Refining capacity in the country is expected to increase to 667 MTPA by 2040.​

Supportive FDI
Guidelines

* The Government has allowed 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in upstream and private sector refining projects.​​

Policy
Support

* The Union Budget FY26 has allocated Rs. 5,597 crore (US$ 640.46 million) to the petroleum and natural gas (PNG) ministry for phase II of the Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Ltd (ISPRL) project, aimed at turning two vast underground caverns into petroleum storage facilities.

Last updated: Aug, 2025

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