Advantage India
Robust
Demand
* In June 2021, Prime Minister Mr. Narendra Modi stated that renewable energy capacity in India increased by 250% between 2014 and 2021.
* The Central Electricity Authority estimates India’s power requirement to grow to reach 817 GW by 2030. Most of the demand will come from real estate and transport sectors.
Increasing
Investments
* Non-conventional energy sector received FDI inflow of US$ 12.57 billion between April 2000-June 2022.
* Rising foreign investment in the renewable sector (such as the US$ 75 billion investment from the UAE) is expected to promote further investments in the country.
Policy
Support
* In the Union Budget 2022-23, the government allocated Rs. 19,500 crore (US$ 2.57 billion) for a PLI scheme to boost manufacturing of high-efficiency solar modules.
* India launched the Mission Innovation CleanTech Exchange, a global initiative that will help accelerate clean energy innovation.
Competitive
Advantage
* Globally, India ranks fourth in renewable energy capacity and wind power and fifth in solar power capacity.
* In October 2021, India retained its third rank on the EY Renewable Energy Country Attractive Index 2021.
Introduction
India's energy demand is expected to increase more than that of any other country in the coming decades due to its sheer size and enormous potential for growth and development. Therefore, it is imperative that most of this new energy demand is met by low-carbon, renewable sources. India's announcement India that it intends to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2070 and to meet 50% of its electricity needs from renewable sources by 2030 marks a historic point in the global effort to combat climate change.
The Indian renewable energy sector is the fourth most attractive renewable energy market in the world. India was ranked fourth in wind power, fifth in solar power and fourth in renewable power installed capacity, as of 2020. Installed renewable power generation capacity has gained pace over the past few years, posting a CAGR of 15.92% between FY16-22. India is the market with the fastest growth in renewable electricity, and by 2026, new capacity additions are expected to double.
With the increased support of the Government and improved economics, the sector has become attractive from an investors perspective. As India looks to meet its energy demand on its own, which is expected to reach 15,820 TWh by 2040, renewable energy is set to play an important role.
Market Size
As of October 2022, India’s installed renewable energy capacity (including hydro) stood at 165.94 GW, representing 40.6% of the overall installed power capacity.
The country is targeting about 450 Gigawatt (GW) of installed renewable energy capacity by 2030 – about 280 GW (over 60%) is expected from solar.
The non-hydro renewable energy capacity addition stood at 4.2 GW for the first three months of FY23 against 2.6 GW for the first three months of FY22.
Solar power installed capacity has increased by more than 18 times, from 2.63 GW in March 2014 to 49.3 GW at the end of 2021. In 2022, till November, India has added 12 GW of solar power capacity.
Power generation from renewable energy sources (not including hydro) stood at 16.18 billion units (BU) in September 2022, up from 14.49 BU in September 2021.
With a potential capacity of 363 GW and with policies focused on the renewable energy sector, Northern India is expected to become the hub for renewable energy in India.
Investments/ Developments
According to the data released by the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT), FDI inflow in the Indian non-conventional energy sector stood at US$ 12.57 billion between April 2000-June 2022. More than Rs. 5.2 lakh crore (US$ 70 billion) has been invested in India’s renewable energy sector since 2014. According to the analytics firm British Business Energy, India ranked 3rd globally in terms of its renewable energy investments and plans in 2020.
Some major investments and developments in the Indian renewable energy sector are as follows:
- 59 solar parks of aggregate capacity 40 GW have been approved in India.
- Solar Parks in Pavagada (2 GW), Kurnool (1 GW) and Bhadla-II (648 MW) included in top 5 operational solar parks of 7 GW capacity in the country.
- The world’s largest renewable energy park of 30 GW capacity solar-wind hybrid project is under installation in Gujarat.
- India offers a great opportunity for investments in RE sector; $196.98 Bn worth of projects underway in India.
- Wind Energy has an offshore target of 30 GW by 2030 with three potential sites identified.
- In August 2022, Norfund, who manage the Norwegian Climate Investment Fund, and KLP, Norway’s biggest pension company, signed an agreement to buy a 49% share of a 420 MW solar power plant in Rajasthan for Rs. 2.8 billion (US$ 35.05 million).
- India has generated 47.64 BU of solar power in the first half of 2022, a 34% YoY increase.
- Investment in renewable energy in India reached a record US$ 14.5 billion in FY22, an increase of 125% over FY21.
- Delhi’s Indira Gandhi International Airport (IGIA) has become the first Indian airport to run entirely on hydro and solar power. Around 6% of the airport’s electricity requirement is met from the onsite solar power plants.
- Ayana Renewable Power Pvt Ltd (Ayana) announced plans to set up renewable energy projects totaling 2 gigawatts (GWs) with an investment of Rs. 12,000 crore (US$ 1.53 billion) in Karnataka.
- India ranked third on the EY Renewable Energy Country Attractive Index 2021.
- In February 2022, Creduce Technologies-HCPL JV announced winning the bid for India’s single largest hydro power carbon credits project with Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam, which will create more than 80 million carbon credits.
- In February 2022, Husk Power Systems, a renewable energy company working towards rural electrification, secured a US$ 4.2 million loan from the Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency (IREDA).
- In December 2021, India's largest energy provider, Tata Power, was awarded a contract by the Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution Company Limited (MSEDCL) to set up a 300 MW wind-solar hybrid power plant.
- In October 2021, Reliance New Energy Solar Ltd. (RNESL) announced two acquisitions to build more capabilities. Both acquisitions – REC Solar Holdings AS (REC Group), a Norway-based firm, and Sterling & Wilson Solar, based in India – exceeded US$ 1 billion and are expected to contribute to Reliance’s target of achieving the capacity of 100 GW of solar energy at Jamnagar by 2030.
- In October 2021, Adani Green Energy Ltd. (AGEL) acquired SB Energy India for US$ 3.5 billion to strengthen its position in the renewable energy sector in India.
- In August 2021, Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP) signed an investment agreement with Amp Energy India Private Limited to facilitate joint equity investments of US$ 200 million across Indian renewable energy projects.
- In July 2021, National Thermal Power Corporation Renewable Energy Ltd. (NTPC REL), NTPC's fully owned subsidiary, sent out a tender to domestic manufacturers to build India's first green hydrogen fueling station in Leh, Ladakh.
- The NTPC is expected to commission India’s largest floating solar power plant in Ramagundam, Telangana by May-June 2022. The expected total installed capacity is 447MW.
- The Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI) implemented large-scale central auctions for solar parks and has awarded contracts for 47 parks with over 25 GW of combined capacity.
Government initiatives
Some initiatives by Government of India to boost India’s renewable energy sector are as follows:
- In Budget 2023-24, Green Growth identified is one of the nodes in the SAPTARISHI (seven priorities).
- In Budget 2023-24, pumped storage projects received a push with a detailed framework to be formulated.
- In Budget 2023-24, US$ 1.02 billion (Rs. 8,300 crore) central sector support for ISTS infrastructure for 13 GW renewable energy from Ladakh was announced.
- On November 19, Prime Minster Mr. Narendra Modi dedicated the 600 MW Kameng Hydro Power Station in Arunachal Pradesh to the country. The project, which covers more than 80 kilometres and costs about Rs. 8,200 crore (US$ 1 billion), is located in Arunachal Pradesh's West Kameng District.
- On November 9, Minister for Finance & Corporate Affairs, Ms. Nirmala Sitharaman, approved the final Sovereign Green Bonds framework of India. The Paris Agreement's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) targets will be further strengthened by this approval, which will also aid in attracting foreign and domestic capital to green projects.
- In the Union Budget 2022-23, the allocation for the Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI), which is currently responsible for the development of the entire renewable energy sector, stood at Rs. 1,000 crores (US$ 132 million).
- In the Budget, the government allocated Rs. 19,500 crore (US$ 2.57 billion) for a PLI scheme to boost manufacturing of high-efficiency solar modules.
- In February 2022, Nepal and India agreed to form a Joint Hydro Development Committee to explore the possibility of viable hydropower projects.
- In November 2021, at the Cop-26 Summit in Glasgow, Prime Minister Mr. Narendra Modi made a promise to increase India’s renewable energy generation capacity to 500 GW, and meet 50% of India’s energy needs through renewable means by the year 2030.
- In October 2021, the Ministry of Power announced a new set of rules aimed at reducing financial stress for stakeholders and safeguarding timely cost recovery in electricity generation.
- In August 2021, the Indian government proposed new rules for the purchase and consumption of green energy. The latest rules are a part of government measures to encourage large-scale energy consumers, including industries, to leverage renewable energy sources for regular operations.
- In July 2021, to encourage rooftop solar (RTS) throughout the country, notably in rural regions, the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy plans to undertake Rooftop Solar Programme Phase II, which aims to install RTS capacity of 4,000 MW in the residential sector by 2022 with a provision of subsidy.
- In July 2021, the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) gave the go ahead to NTPC Renewable Energy Ltd., a 100% subsidiary of NTPC, to build a 4,750 MW renewable energy park at the Rann of Kutch in Khavada, Gujarat. This will be India's largest solar park to be developed by the country's leading power producer.
- The Government of India has announced plans to implement a US$ 238 million National Mission on advanced ultra-supercritical technologies for cleaner coal utilisation.
- Indian Railways is taking increased efforts through sustained energy efficient measures and maximum use of clean fuel to cut down emission level by 33% by 2030.
- The government has spent US$ 4.63 billion on hydroelectric projects to provide electricity to villages in Jammu and Kashmir from 2018-21.
Road Ahead
India has set a target to reduce the carbon intensity of the nation’s economy by less than 45% by the end of the decade, achieve 50% cumulative electric power installed by 2030 from renewables, and achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2070. Low-carbon technologies could create a market worth up to US$ 80 billion in India by 2030.
India‘s target is to produce five million Tonnes of green hydrogen by 2030. Green Hydrogen target is set at India’s electrolyzer manufacturing capacity is projected to reach 8 GW per year by 2025. The cumulative value of the green hydrogen market in India could reach US$ 8 billion by 2030 and India will require at least 50 gigawatt (GW) of electrolyzers or more to ramp up hydrogen production.
India’s ambitious renewables energy goals are transforming its power sector. Rising population and widespread electrification in rural homes is fuelling the demand for energy to power homes, businesses and communities. Clean energy will reduce pollution levels as villages become self-sustainable with their use of clean energy. In 2022, India's renewable energy sector is expected to boom with a likely investment of US$ 15 billion this year, as the government focuses on electric vehicles, green hydrogen, and the manufacturing of solar equipment.
It is expected that by 2040, around 49% of the total electricity will be generated by renewable energy as more efficient batteries will be used to store electricity, which will further cut the solar energy cost by 66% as compared to the current cost. The use of renewables in place of coal will save India Rs. 54,000 crore (US$ 8.43 billion) annually. Around 15,000 MW of wind-solar hybrid capacity is expected to be added between 2020-25.
As per the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) estimates, by 2029-2030, the share of renewable energy generation would increase from 18% to 44%, while that of thermal is expected to reduce from 78% to 52%. The CEA also estimates India’s power requirement to grow to reach 817 GW by 2030.
References: Central Electricity Authority, Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, Media Reports, Press Releases, Union Budget 2023-24
Note: Conversion rate used in February 2023: Rs. 1 = US$ 0.012
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