Advantage India
Robust
Demand
*Rising working group and widening middle class demography is expected to boost demand.
*Country will become the third largest aviation market in terms of passengers by 2024.^
Opportunities
in MRO
*By 2028, the MRO industry is likely to grow over US$ 2.4 billion from US$ 800 million in 2018.
*Land allotment for entities setting up MRO facilities in India has been revised to a period of 30 years in September 2021, from the current 3-5 years as the government aims to make India a ‘Global MRO Hub.’
Policy
Support
*Foreign investment up to 49% is allowed under the automatic route.
*Under Union Budget 2021-22, the government lowered the custom duty from 2.5% to 0% on components or parts, including engines, for manufacturing of aircrafts by public sector units of the Ministry of Defence.
Increasing
Investments
*Investment to the tune of Rs. 420-450 billion (US$ 5.99-6.41 billion) is expected in India’s airport infrastructure between FY18-23#.
*Growing private sector participation through the Public-Private Partnership (PPP).
Introduction
The civil aviation industry in India has emerged as one of the fastest growing industries in the country during the last three years and can be broadly classified into scheduled air transport service which includes domestic and international airlines, non-scheduled air transport service which consists of charter operators and air taxi operators, air cargo service, which includes air transportation of cargo and mail. Domestic traffic contributes around 69% of the total airline traffic in South Asia and India’s airport capacity is expected to handle 1 billion trips annually by 2023.
The Indian aviation industry has recovered fully from the covid-19 pandemic shock as indicated by the air traffic movement which stood at 613,566 in the first quarter of FY 2022-23 compared to 300,405 in the same period last year, an increase of 104.24%. India is currently the 7th largest civil aviation market in the world and is expected to become the third-largest civil aviation market within the next 10 years. Indigo is the largest airline company in India with the highest market share. India has become the third largest domestic aviation market in the world and is expected to overtake UK to become the third largest air passenger* market by 2024.
Market Size
India is expected to overtake China and the United States as the world's third-largest air passenger market in the next ten years, by 2030, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA). Further, the rising demand in the sector has pushed the number of airplanes operating in the sector. The number of airplanes is expected to reach 1,100 planes by 2027.
India’s passenger* traffic stood at 188.89 million in FY22 and 76.47 million in the first quarter of FY 2022-23. In FY22, airports in India pegged the domestic passenger traffic to be 166.8 million, a 58.5% YoY increase, and international passenger traffic to be 22.1 million, a 118% YoY increase, as compared to FY 2020-21.
Between FY16 and FY22, freight traffic increased at a CAGR of 2.52% from 2.70 MMT to 3.14 MMT. In the first quarter of FY 2022-23, freight traffic stood at 0.81 MMT. Freight traffic on airports in India has the potential to reach 17 MT by FY40. In FY22, number of aircraft movements stood at 1,757,112 and in the first quarter of FY 2022-23, aircraft movements stood at 613,556. To cater to the rising air traffic, the Government of India has been working towards increasing the number of airports. As of 2022, India had 129 operational airports. India has envisaged increasing the number of operational airports to 190-200 by FY40.
Key investments and developments
- According to the data released by the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT), FDI inflow in India’s air transport sector (including air freight) reached US$ 3.54 billion between April 2000-March 2022.
- The government has allowed 100% FDI under the automatic route in scheduled air transport service, regional air transport service and domestic scheduled passenger airline. However, FDI over 49% would require government approval.
- India’s aviation industry is expected to witness Rs. 35,000 crore (US$ 4.99 billion) investment in the next four years. The Indian Government is planning to invest US$ 1.83 billion for development of airport infrastructure along with aviation navigation services by 2026.
- India aims to have 220 new airports by 2025, said, Mr. Jyotiraditya Scindia, Minister of Civil Aviation. Cargo flights for perishable food items will also be increased to 30% with 133 new flights in the coming years.
- In 2022, Mumbai International Airport Ltd (MIAL) has raised US$ 750 million debt in a private placement from US-based private asset manager, Apollo Global.
- Adani Airport Holdings (AAHL) has raised US$ 250 million in May 2022 for capital expenditure and for the development of six airports that it currently manages.
- In February 2022, the Airports Authority of India (AAI) and other airport developers have set a capital outlay target of Rs. 91,000 crore (US$ 12.08 billion) for the development of the airport industry.
- AAI plans to invest Rs. 25,000 crore (US$ 3.58 billion) in next the five years to augment facilities and infrastructure at airports.
- UK group to invest Rs. 950 crore (US$ 135.9 million) in Turbo Aviation's new airline TruStar
- In October 2021, Tata Sons won the bid to acquire state-run Air India by offering Rs. 18,000 crore (US$ 2.4 billion) to acquire 100% shares.
- In October 2021, Akasa Air, a start-up airline, received a ‘No Objection’ certificate from the Ministry of Civil Aviation to launch operations. The start-up plans to commence its operations from mid-2022.
- In September 2021, JetSetGo, a private aviation company, plans to make its flight operations carbon neutral by 2024 through a carbon management programme.
- In August 2021, Indira Gandhi International Airport was declared the best airport in India and Central Asia at Skytrax World Airport Awards.
- In June 2021, SpiceJet announced its ambitious target to fly 100 million domestic passengers on Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) blend by 2030 under the aegis of World Economic Forum (WEF).
- In March 2021, the government announced plan to set up two water aerodroames in Assam and four water aerodromes in Andaman & Nicobar Islands this year to boost tourism and connectivity.
- In March 2021, the government submitted a proposal to develop a water aerodrome project at the Ujjani Dam, under the Ministry of Civil Aviation’s UDAN-RCS (regional connectivity scheme).
- On March 25, 2021, Union Minister of Civil Aviation Hardeep Singh Puri inaugurated the Kurnool Airport, Orvakal, Andhra Pradesh, in a virtual ceremony. The flight operations at Kurnool airport will commence on March 28, 2021 under the Regional Connectivity Scheme – Ude Desh Ka Aam Nagrik (RCS-UDAN). UDAN flights carried 34,38,955 passengers till 7th November 2021.
- According to WTTC, India ranked 7th among 185 countries in terms of travel & tourism’s total contribution (4.7%) to the GDP in 2020. The contribution was worth US$ 121.9 billion.
Government Initiatives
Some major initiatives undertaken by the Government are:
- In the Union Budget 2022-23:
- Rs. 10,667 crore (US$ 1.38 billion) has been allocated to the Ministry of Civil Aviation.
- The RCS (Regional Connectivity Scheme) UDAN scheme which aims to stimulate regional air connectivity has been allocated Rs. 601 crore (US$ 77.52 million)
- For a better execution of the PM-Gati Shakti vision, Mr. Jyotiraditya M. Scindia, Minister of Civil Aviation asks for synergy between the Central and State Governments to build 16 new airports in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Maharashtra.
- The Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) announced that airlines can operate domestic flights without any capacity restriction, effective from October 18, 2021.
- In October 2021, the Union Minister of Civil Aviation, Mr. Jyotiraditya M. Scindia, virtually flagged off the first direct flight along the Shillong–Dibrugarh route, under the RCS-UDAN (Regional Connectivity Scheme - Ude Desh Ka Aam Naagrik) scheme.
- Ministry of Civil Aviation launched the Krishi UDAN 2.0 scheme in October 2021. The scheme proposes assistance and incentive for movement of agri-produce by air transportation. The Krishi UDAN 2.0 will be implemented at 53 airports across the country, largely focusing on Northeast and tribal regions, and is expected to benefit farmers, freight forwarders and airlines.
- On October 20, 2021, Prime Minister Mr. Narendra Modi inaugurated the Kushinagar International Airport in Uttar Pradesh. The international airport is likely to facilitate the air travel requirements of international Buddhist pilgrims in India.
- In August 2021, the government plans to implement a biometric boarding system using facial technology in six airports, including Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Pune. The project is currently in the testing phase.
- The Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) is hopeful that aspiring commercial pilots will soon be able to get trained in India without having to leave the country. In this regard, the government in July 2021 announced setting up eight new flying academies across the following five airports: Belagavi and Kalaburagi in Karnataka, Jalgaon in Maharashtra, Khajuraho in Madhya Pradesh, and Lilabari in Assam.
- The government is planning to start 14 more water aerodromes across the country, after the successful launch of seaplane service by Prime Minister, Mr. Narendra Modi, between the Statue of Unity near Kevadiya in Gujarat's Narmada district and Sabarmati Riverfront in Ahmedabad in October 2020.
Road Ahead
India’s aviation industry is largely untapped with huge growth opportunities, considering that air transport is still expensive for majority of the country’s population, of which nearly 40% is the upwardly mobile middle class. The government has been instrumental in developing policies to give a boost to the aviation sector. For this, UDAN-RCS scheme has been launched by the government which aims to increase air connectivity by providing affordable, economically viable and profitable travel on regional routes. The industry stakeholders should engage and collaborate with policy makers to implement efficient and rational decisions that would boost India’s civil aviation industry.
With the right policies and relentless focus on quality, cost and passenger interest, India would be well placed to achieve its vision of becoming the third-largest aviation market by 2020. The expenditure of Indian travellers is expected to grow up to Rs. 9.5 lakh crore (US$ 136 billion) by 2021. Due to rise in demand in air travel, India will need 2,380 new commercial airplanes by 2038. According to a report titled ‘Travel market in India’, published by RedCore—a RedSeer unit focusing on early-stage companies— the travel market in India, worth ~ US$ 75 billion in FY20, is projected to cross US$ 125 billion by FY27.
References:Media Reports, Press Releases, Press Information Bureau, Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), Airports Authority of India (AAI), Union Budget 2021-22
Note:Conversion rate used in August 2022, Rs. 1 = US$ 0.013
Note:*-International and Domestic, ^ - As per International Air Transport Association (IATA) forecasts
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