Retail
By 2018, the Indian retail sector is likely to grow at a CAGR of 13 per cent to reach US$ 950 billion.

Retail Industry in India

Latest update: August, 2015

Passenger vehicle exports from India

Retail sector’s high growth potential is attracting investors

 

•India has occupied a remarkable position in global retail rankings; the country has high market potential, low economic risk, and moderate political risk

•In market potential, India ranks eleventh (after United States, China, Canada, UK, Brazil, Germany, Austria and Mexico)

•India's net retail sales are quite significant among emerging and developed nations; the country is ranked third (after China and Brazil

•Overall, given its high growth potential, India compares favourably with global peers among foreign investors

Passenger vehicle exports from India

Last Updated: August, 2015

SECTORAL REPORT | August, 2015

Introduction

The Indian retail industry has emerged as one of the most dynamic and fast-paced industries due to the entry of several new players. It accounts for over 10 per cent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and around 8 per cent of the employment. India is the world’s fifth-largest global destination in the retail space.

Market Size

The Boston Consulting Group and Retailers Association of India published a report titled, ‘Retail 2020: Retrospect, Reinvent, Rewrite’, highlighting that India’s retail market is expected to nearly double to US$ 1 trillion by 2020 from US$ 600 billion in 2015, driven by income growth, urbanisation and attitudinal shifts.

The report adds that while the overall retail market is expected to grow at 12 per cent per annum, modern trade would expand twice as fast at 20 per cent per annum and traditional trade at 10 per cent.

Retail spending in the top seven Indian cities amounted to Rs 3.58 trillion (US$ 57.6 billion), with organised retail penetration at 19 per cent as of 2014. Online retail is expected to be at par with the physical stores in the next five years.

India is expected to become the world’s fastest growing e-commerce market, driven by robust investment in the sector and rapid increase in the number of internet users. India’s e-commerce market is estimated to expand to over US$ 100 billion by 2020 from US$ 3.5 billion in 2014.

Investment Scenario

The Indian retail industry in the single-brand segment has received Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) equity inflows totalling US$ 275.4 million during April 2000–May 2015, according to the Department of Industrial Policies and Promotion (DIPP).

With the rising need for consumer goods in different sectors including consumer electronics and home appliances, many companies have invested in the Indian retail space in the past few months.

  • Paytm plans to set up 30,000–50,000 retail outlets where its customers can load cash on their digital wallets. The company is also looking to enrol retailers – mostly kirana stores – as merchants for accepting digital payments.
  • Mobile wallet company MobiKwik has partnered with Jabong.com to provide mobile payment services to Jabong’s customers.
  • DataWind partnered with HomeShop18 to expand its retail footprint in the country. Under the partnership, HomeShop18 and DataWind would jointly launch special sales programmes across broadcast, mobile and internet media to provide greater access to the latter’s tablet range.
  • FashionAndYou has opened three distribution hubs in Surat, Mumbai and Bengaluru to accelerate deliveries.
  • Abu Dhabi-based Lulu Group plans to invest Rs 2,500 crore (US$ 402.0 million) in a fruit and vegetable processing unit, an integrated meat processing unit, and a modern shopping mall in Hyderabad, Telangana.
  • Aditya Birla Retail, a part of the US$ 40 billion Aditya Birla Group and the fourth-largest supermarket retailer in the country, acquired Total hypermarkets owned by Jubilant Retail.
  • With an aim to strengthen its advertising segment, Flipkart acquired mobile ad network AdiQuity, which has a history of mobile innovations and valuable experience in the ad space.
  • US-based Pizza chain Sbarro plans an almost threefold increase in its store count from the current 17 to 50 over the next two years through multiple business models.
  • Amazon, the world's largest online retailer, is readying a US$ 5.0 billion war chest to make India its biggest market outside the US.
  • Wal-Mart India Private Ltd, a wholly owned subsidiary of Wal-Mart Stores Inc., plans to open 500 stores in India in the next 10–15 years.
  • British retail major Tesco invested Rs 850 crore (US$ 133.8 million) in multi-brand retail trading by forming an equal joint venture with Tata group company Trent; to form the joint venture, Tesco purchased 50 per cent stake in Trent Hypermarket Ltd (THL). THL operates the Star Bazaar retail business in India.

Government Initiatives

The Government of India has taken various initiatives to improve the retail industry in India.< /p>

  • IKEA, the world’s largest furniture retailer, bought its first piece of land in India in Hyderabad, the joint capital of Telangana and Andhra Pradesh, for building a retail store. IKEA’s retail outlets have a standard design and each location entails an investment of around Rs 500–600 crore (US$ 80.4–96.5 million).
  • The Government of India has accepted the changes proposed by Rajya Sabha select committee to the bill introducing Goods and Services Tax (GST). Implementation of GST is expected to enable easier movement of goods across the country, thereby improving retail operations for pan-India retailers.
  • The Government has approved a proposal to scrap the distinctions among different types of overseas investments by shifting to a single composite limit, which means portfolio investment up to 49 per cent will not require government approval nor will it have to comply with sectoral conditions as long as it does not result in a transfer of ownership and/or control of Indian entities to foreigners. As a result, foreign investments are expected to be increase, especially in the attractive retail sector.

The Road Ahead

E-commerce is expanding steadily in the country. Customers have the ever increasing choice of products at the lowest rates. E-commerce is probably creating the biggest revolution in the retail industry, and this trend would continue in the years to come. Retailers should leverage the digital retail channels (e-commerce), which would enable them to spend less money on real estate while reaching out to more customers in tier-2 and tier-3 cities.  

Both organised and unorganised retail companies have to work together to ensure better prospects for the overall retail industry, while generating new benefits for their customers.
Nevertheless, the long-term outlook for the industry is positive, supported by rising incomes, favourable demographics, entry of foreign players, and increasing urbanisation.

Exchange Rate Used: INR 1 = US$ 0.016 as on July 20, 2015

References: Media Reports, Press Releases, Deloitte report, Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion website, Union Budget 2015–16

Disclaimer: This information has been collected through secondary research and IBEF is not responsible for any errors in the same.

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