Fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) is the fourth-largest sector in the Indian economy. There are three main segments in the sector — food and beverages, which accounts for 19% of the sector; healthcare, which accounts for 31% of the share; and household and personal care, which accounts for the remaining 50% share. The urban segment contributes to about 55% of the revenue share, while the rural segment accounts for 45%. Rise in rural consumption will drive the FMCG market. The Indian processed food market is projected to expand to US$ 470 billion by 2025, up from US$ 263 billion in 2019-20.
The Indian FMCG industry grew by 16% in CY21 a 9- year high, despite nationwide lockdowns, supported by consumption-led growth and value expansion from higher product prices, particularly for staples. Final consumption expenditure increased at a CAGR of 5.2% during 2015-20. According to Fitch Solutions, real household spending is projected to increase 9.1% YoY in 2021, after contracting >9.3% in 2020 due to economic impact of the pandemic. The FMCG sector's revenue growth will double from 5-6% in FY21 to 10-12% in FY22, according to CRISIL Ratings. Price increases across product categories will offset the impact of rising raw material prices, along with volume growth and resurgence in demand for discretionary items, are driving growth. The domestic FMCG market has grown at 12.6% YoY in Q3 2021.
The Indian online grocery market is estimated to exceed sales of about Rs. 1,310.93 billion (US$ 17.12 billion) by 2026, at a CAGR of 28.99%. The gross merchandise value (GMV) of the online grocery segment in India is expected to increase 18 times over the next five years to reach US$ 37 billion by FY25.
The FMCG sector has received good investments and support from the Government in the recent past. The sector witnessed healthy FDI inflows of US$ 20.11 billion from April 2000-March 2022. Furthermore, as per the Union Budget 2022-23, Rs. 1,725 crore (US$ 222.19 million) has been allocated to the Department of Consumer Affairs, Rs. 215,960 crore (US$ 27.82 billion) has been allocated to the Department of Food and Public Distribution. In FY 2021-22, the government approved Production Linked Incentive Scheme for Food Processing Industry (PLISFPI) with an outlay of Rs. 10,900 crore (US$ 1.4 billion) to help Indian brands of food products in the international markets.
According to a joint report released by industry body FICCI and property consultancy firm Anarock, Indian e-commerce market is expected to reach US$ 120 billion by 2026 from US$ 38 billion in 2021
In October 2022, Dabur acquired 51% stake in Badshah Masala Private Limited for Rs. 587.52 crore (US$ 71.81 million) less proportionate debt as on the closing date, with the Badshah enterprise being valued at Rs 1,152 crore (US$ 140.81 million).
In July 2022, Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh Mr. Yogi Adityanath, inaugurated HUL’s ultra-modern factory in Sumerpur with a total investment of Rs. 700 crore (US$ 88.07 million) planned by 2025.
In July 2022, Emami acquired 30% stake in Cannis Lupus to enter into the petcare segment in India.
In July 2022, Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GCPL), unveiled Godrej Magic Bodywash, India‟s first ready-to mix bodywash at just Rs. 45 (US$ 0.57).
The government’s production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme gives companies a major opportunity to boost exports with an outlay of US$ 1.42 billion.
As of February 2021, out of 39 Mega Food Park projects, 22 are operational, 15 are under implementation and 2 are in-principle approval.
The future outlook of the FMCG sector looks on track with pandemic easing out. Rural consumption has increased, led by a combination of increasing income and higher aspiration levels. There is an increased demand for branded products in rural India. On the other hand, with the share of unorganised market in the FMCG sector falling, the organised sector growth is expected to rise with increased level of brand consciousness, augmented by the growth in modern retail. The FMCG market in India is expected to increase at a CAGR of 14.9% to reach US$ 220 billion by 2025, from US$ 110 billion in 2020.