Trade Analytics
Indian Rural Market
The rural segment is growing at a healthy pace of 8-10 per cent per annum and is expected to add US$ 100 billion in consumption demand by 2017.

Indian Rural Market

Latest update: July, 2016

Rural Segment Quickly Catching Up

 

  • The Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector in rural and semi-urban India is estimated to cross US$ 20 billion by 2018 and US$ 100 billion by 2025
  • The rural FMCG market expanded at a CAGR of 13.2 per cent to US$ 100 billion during 2009-15x
  • In rural markets, durables like refrigerators as well as consumer electronic goods are likely to witness growing demand in the coming years as the government plans to invest significantly in rural electrification
Rural Market

 

Last Updated: October, 2016

Introduction

According to the third annual edition of Accenture Research, “Masters of Rural Markets: From Touchpoints to Trustpoints - Winning over India's Aspiring Rural Consumers,” rural consumers are particularly aspiring or striving to purchase branded, high quality products. Consequently, businesses in India are optimistic about growth of the country's rural consumer markets, which is expected to be faster than urban consumer markets. The report highlights the better networking among rural consumers and their tendency to proactively seek information via multitude sources to be better informed while making purchase decisions. Importantly, the wider reach of media and telecommunication services has provided information to India’s rural consumers and is influencing their purchase decisions. In line with general trend, rural consumers are evolving towards a broader notion of value provided by products and services which involves aspects of price combined with utility, aesthetics and features, and not just low prices.

The hinterlands in India consist of about 650,000 villages. These villages are inhabited by about 850 million consumers making up for about 70 per cent of population and contributing around half of the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Consumption patterns in these rural areas are gradually changing to increasingly resemble the consumption patterns of urban areas. Some of India's largest consumer companies serve one-third of their consumers from rural India. Owing to a favorable changing consumption trend as well as the potential size of the market, rural India provides a large and attractive investment opportunity for private companies.

Market size

India’s per capita GDP in rural regions has grown at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.2 per cent since 2000. The Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector in rural and semi-urban India is expected to cross US$ 20 billion mark by 2018 and reach US$ 100 billion by 2025@.

Recent Developments

Following are some of the major investments and developments in the Indian rural sector.

  • The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) has an annual target of setting up one lakh family size biogas plants to the states and union territories for FY 2016-17.
  • Indian Institute of Technology-Madras (IIT-M) has entered into a three-year partnership with Nokia Networks to create technology solutions which will enhance broadband connectivity in rural India.
  • The United Economic Forum (UEF), an organisation that works to improve socio-economic status of the minority community in India, has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) for financing entrepreneurs from backward communities to set up businesses in Tamil Nadu. As part of the agreement, entrepreneurs who have been chosen by the UEF, will get term loan / working capital requirements from the bank. The UEF will appoint mentors to guide entrepreneurs for successful implementation of the project, with both IOB & UEF periodically monitoring the progress of the project.
  • Tata Motors, India's biggest automobile company by revenues, plans to aggressively expand its network with a focus on rural markets. The company is aiming to more than triple its network to 1,500 over the next three years from 460 now, making it the biggest such expansion by a passenger vehicle maker in the country so far.
  • Bharti Airtel is applying for a payments bank licence and has involved Kotak Mahindra Bank as a potential investor in the venture, in a bid to tap significant revenue opportunities from the Reserve Bank of India's financial inclusion initiative. Payments banks are meant to fan out into the rural, remote areas of the country, offering limited but critical services such as money transfers, loans and deposit collection. While banks have the knowhow, telecom companies have the network, making it an ideal match.

Government Initiatives

The Government of India has planned various initiatives to provide and improve the infrastructure in rural areas which can have a multiplier effect in increasing movements of goods, services and thereby improve earnings potential of rural areas subsequently improving consumption.

Mr Piyush Goyal, Minister of State (Independent Charge) for Power, Coal, New and Renewable Energy, has stated that the Government of India has set a target to electrify all un-electrified villages in the country by the end of 2016. Between 15-21 August, 2016, the Government electrified 28 more villages under the Deen Dayal Upadhyayay Gram Jyoti Yojna (DDUGJY), bringing the tally to 10,079 villages which have been electrified till date. Out of these electrified villages, 4 villages belong to Assam, 5 to Chhattisgarh, 3 to Jharkhand, 10 to Meghalaya and 6 to Rajasthan.

The Government of India plans to integrate villages with country’s economic mainstream by purchasing around 80,000 mini-buses, which will connect over 125,000 villages to markets and thereby provide access to better job and education prospects.

The Union Budget 2016-17 proposed a slew of measures to improve agriculture and increase farmers’ welfare such as 2.85 million hectares to be brought under irrigation, Rs 287,000 crore (US$ 42.8 billion) grant in aid to be given to gram panchayats and municipalities and 100 per cent village electrification targeted by May 01, 2018.

Prime Minister Mr Narendra Modi has launched the National Rurban Mission with the aim of enabling cluster based development and creating smart villages which will complement the smart cities initiative.

The Government of Gujarat plans to undertake several steps to promote micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) in the state, including setting up a separate department for this segment and providing dedicated industrial estates for MSMEs.

The Union Government plans to build 2.23 lakh km of roads in the rural areas and has proposed a total spending of Rs 27,000 crore (US$ 4.03 billion) until March 2017.

E-commerce players like Flipkart, Snapdeal, Infibeam and mobile wallet major Paytm have signed Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) with the government to reach rural areas by connecting with the government’s common service centres (CSCs) being setup in villages as part of the ‘Digital India’ initiative.

With the increasing demand for skilled labour, the Indian government plans to train 500 million people by 2022, and is looking out for corporate players and entrepreneurs to help in this venture. Corporate, government, and educational organisations are joining in the effort to train, educate and produce skilled workers.

The Union Cabinet has cleared the Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchaee Yojana (PMKSY), with a proposed outlay of Rs 50,000 crore (US$ 7.45 billion) spread over a period of five years starting from 2015-16. The scheme aims to provide irrigation to every village in India by converging various ongoing irrigation schemes into a single focused irrigation programme. The Government of India aims to spend Rs 75,600 crore (US$ 11.27 billion) to supply electricity through separate feeders for agricultural and domestic consumption in rural areas. This initiative is aimed at improving the efficiency of electricity distribution and thereby providing uninterrupted power supply to rural regions of India.

To promote agriculture-based businesses, the Government of India has started ‘A Scheme for Promotion of Innovation, Rural Industry and Entrepreneurship’ (ASPIRE). Under this scheme, a network of technology centres and incubation centres would be set up to accelerate entrepreneurship and to promote start-ups for innovation and entrepreneurship in agro-industry.

The Government of India plans to form a committee to study various innovations and submit their reports to the concerned Department or Ministry. The programme called the ‘Nav Kalpana Kosh’ aims to improve rural areas at various levels, such as governance, agriculture and hygiene.

Road Ahead

As is the trend with urban India, consumers in the rural regions are also expected to embrace online purchases over time and drive consumption digitally. The rural regions are already well covered by basic telecommunication services and are now witnessing increasing penetration of computers and smartphones. Taking advantage of these developments, online portals are being viewed as key channels for companies trying to enter and establish themselves in the rural market. The Internet has become a cost-effective means for a company looking to overcome geographical barriers and broaden its reach.

Market research firm Nielsen expects India’s rural FMCG market to reach a size of US$ 100 billion by 2025. Another report by McKinsey Global Institute forecasts the annual real income per household in rural India to rise to 3.6 per cent 2025, from 2.8 per cent in the last 20 years.

Exchange Rate Used: INR 1 = US$ 0.0149 as on September 21, 2016

References: Media Reports, Press Releases, Press Information Bureau (PIB), Accenture Report, Nielsen Report, Budget 2016-17

Notes - @ - AC Nielsen report

Disclaimer: This information has been collected through secondary research and IBEF is not responsible for any errors in the same.

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